The Q1 mystery resolves: P-side mooncake C++ logs show
"Sync batch data transfer timeout after 37452515723ns" (37.45 s) at
01:56:42 — this is mooncake's batch_transfer_sync giving up after
its internal timeout. The hair-trigger >=1 in conn.py:1270 is
correct in the idle case (a 30-s RDMA stall genuinely means the
peer is broken), but it fires here because of D-side congestion:
decode-0.log shows two consecutive LRU evictions ("Trimmed decode
session cache via LRU. evicted_sessions: 2, freed_tokens: 77675")
firing at the exact same wall second the timeout triggers.
The D scheduler thread is busy with multi-session GPU memory frees
+ session-aware-cache bookkeeping under lock; the mooncake C++
control plane on the receive side gets starved for >30 s; P times
out and marks the whole D's mooncake_session_id failed.
Two-layer fix listed in §5c: root-cause = spread load to D2 (cold-D
bonus, next commit); defense-in-depth = windowed threshold + retry
in vendored mooncake conn.py.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>