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Track simulator fidelity experiment artifacts

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Gahow Wang
2026-07-19 15:31:09 +08:00
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runs/frontier-multicase-sufficiency-v0/results/qwen30-baseline/report.md Normal file
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# Qwen30B Frontier baseline audit
| mode | selected cells | worst real regret | Kendall tau-b | pair sign accuracy | feasibility (agree/FP/FN) |
|---|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| uncalibrated/SLO-gated | tp4_mns32, tp4_mns64 | 25.63% | 0.0000 | 37.88% | 37/0/55 |
| frozen-calibrated/SLO-gated | tp2_mns32, tp2_mns64 | 0.76% | 0.9668 | 93.94% | 64/21/7 |
The calibrated mode applies a distinct end-to-end execution-time scale per TP: TP1=0.723481, TP2=0.468089, TP4=0.352137.
Those scales were fitted against real total throughput on `coder_200_ts2` and checked without refitting on `coder_200_ts3`. This validates within-workload transfer of the calibration, not zero-shot Frontier prediction across TP.