{
  "contract": {
    "moe_mapping": "standalone moe_grouped_gemm and serving MoE both include expert prepare/finalize plus expert GEMMs",
    "real_anchor_ms": 410.0,
    "serving_sample": "longest execute window on critical TP rank",
    "simulator_sample": "mean of first nine q8192/ctx0 single-request chunks"
  },
  "counterfactual": {
    "moe_only_counterfactual_bias": -0.02523382099105694,
    "moe_only_counterfactual_total_ms": 399.65413339366665,
    "moe_residual_fraction": 0.8075231403622317,
    "moe_residual_ms": 43.40535640199994,
    "moe_scale": 1.2536568227334743,
    "total_residual_ms": 53.751223008333284
  },
  "decision": "inject_tp2_prefill_moe_and_replay",
  "gates": {
    "moe_explains_at_least_70pct": true,
    "moe_only_counterfactual_within_5pct": true,
    "serving_reproduces_anchor_within_5pct": true
  },
  "measurements_ms": {
    "real_anchor": 410.0,
    "serving_execute_wall": 408.19065,
    "serving_moe": 214.52378299999995,
    "serving_non_moe": 193.66686700000005,
    "simulator_moe_grouped_gemm": 171.118426598,
    "simulator_non_moe": 185.1303503936667,
    "simulator_total": 356.2487769916667
  },
  "schema": "frontier-tp2-prefill-serving-smoke-verdict.v1"
}