#!/usr/bin/env python3 """Render the preregistered Qwen235 collective-profile ablation layout.""" from pathlib import Path import matplotlib.pyplot as plt import numpy as np OUT = Path(__file__).with_name("qwen235-collective-ablation-mock.png") def main() -> None: configs = ["TP4 / EP1", "TP8 / EP8"] real_tpot = np.array([21.0442, 27.9942]) current_frontier_tpot = np.array([87.7735, 61.5878]) fig, (ax0, ax1) = plt.subplots(1, 2, figsize=(10.8, 4.4)) x = np.arange(len(configs)) width = 0.34 ax0.bar( x - width / 2, real_tpot, width, color="#4c78a8", label="Frozen real", ) ax0.bar( x + width / 2, current_frontier_tpot, width, color="#e45756", label="A0 current Frontier", ) for index in x: ax0.text( index, max(real_tpot[index], current_frontier_tpot[index]) + 4, "A1 measured-profile\nresult: TBD", ha="center", va="bottom", fontsize=8, color="#222222", ) ax0.set_xticks(x, configs) ax0.set_ylim(0, 112) ax0.set_ylabel("Fixed-PD mean TPOT (ms)") ax0.set_title("A. Does A1 reverse the simulated TP margin?") ax0.legend(frameon=False, fontsize=8) ax0.grid(axis="y", alpha=0.25) outcomes = ["A0 current", "A1 flips\nto TP4", "A1 stays\nat TP8"] regret = [33.0, 0.0, 33.0] colors = ["#e45756", "#54a24b", "#f2cf5b"] bars = ax1.bar(outcomes, regret, color=colors, width=0.68) ax1.axhline(10.0, color="#222222", linestyle="--", linewidth=1.2, label="10% gate") ax1.bar_label(bars, labels=["33%", "0%", "33%"], padding=3, fontsize=9) ax1.set_ylim(0, 42) ax1.set_ylabel("Real TPOT selection regret (%)") ax1.set_title("B. Preregistered decision outcomes") ax1.legend(frameon=False, fontsize=8) ax1.grid(axis="y", alpha=0.25) fig.suptitle( "SCHEMATIC / preregistered layout — A1 values are not yet measured", fontsize=11, ) fig.tight_layout() fig.savefig(OUT, dpi=180, bbox_inches="tight") print(OUT) if __name__ == "__main__": main()