#!/usr/bin/env python3 """Render the preregistered phase-factorial hypothesis schematic (mock data).""" from __future__ import annotations from pathlib import Path import matplotlib matplotlib.use("Agg") import matplotlib.pyplot as plt def main() -> None: labels = ("235B\nprefill-only", "235B\nmixed", "30B\nprefill-only", "30B\nmixed") x = range(len(labels)) phase_hypothesis = (1.0, 18.0, 2.0, 28.0) stack_hypothesis = (1.0, 4.0, 24.0, 30.0) fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(8.6, 4.8), constrained_layout=True) ax.plot(x, phase_hypothesis, marker="o", lw=2, label="H-phase (mock)") ax.plot(x, stack_hypothesis, marker="s", lw=2, label="H-stack (mock)") ax.axhline(5, color="black", ls="--", lw=1.2, label="5% regret gate") ax.set_xticks(list(x), labels) ax.set_ylabel("Worst selected-config regret (%) — MOCK DATA") ax.set_title("Schematic only: predictions that distinguish phase vs stack explanations") ax.set_ylim(0, 35) ax.grid(axis="y", alpha=0.25) ax.legend() ax.text( 0.01, 0.98, "MOCK DATA / NOT A RESULT", transform=ax.transAxes, va="top", color="crimson", weight="bold", ) output = Path(__file__).with_name("mock-phase-factorial.png") fig.savefig(output, dpi=180) print(output) if __name__ == "__main__": main()