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aituner/runs/frontier-fidelity-envelope-v1/plot_qwen235_collective_ablation_mock.py

75 lines
2.1 KiB
Python

#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""Render the preregistered Qwen235 collective-profile ablation layout."""
from pathlib import Path
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import numpy as np
OUT = Path(__file__).with_name("qwen235-collective-ablation-mock.png")
def main() -> None:
configs = ["TP4 / EP1", "TP8 / EP8"]
real_tpot = np.array([21.0442, 27.9942])
current_frontier_tpot = np.array([87.7735, 61.5878])
fig, (ax0, ax1) = plt.subplots(1, 2, figsize=(10.8, 4.4))
x = np.arange(len(configs))
width = 0.34
ax0.bar(
x - width / 2,
real_tpot,
width,
color="#4c78a8",
label="Frozen real",
)
ax0.bar(
x + width / 2,
current_frontier_tpot,
width,
color="#e45756",
label="A0 current Frontier",
)
for index in x:
ax0.text(
index,
max(real_tpot[index], current_frontier_tpot[index]) + 4,
"A1 measured-profile\nresult: TBD",
ha="center",
va="bottom",
fontsize=8,
color="#222222",
)
ax0.set_xticks(x, configs)
ax0.set_ylim(0, 112)
ax0.set_ylabel("Fixed-PD mean TPOT (ms)")
ax0.set_title("A. Does A1 reverse the simulated TP margin?")
ax0.legend(frameon=False, fontsize=8)
ax0.grid(axis="y", alpha=0.25)
outcomes = ["A0 current", "A1 flips\nto TP4", "A1 stays\nat TP8"]
regret = [33.0, 0.0, 33.0]
colors = ["#e45756", "#54a24b", "#f2cf5b"]
bars = ax1.bar(outcomes, regret, color=colors, width=0.68)
ax1.axhline(10.0, color="#222222", linestyle="--", linewidth=1.2, label="10% gate")
ax1.bar_label(bars, labels=["33%", "0%", "33%"], padding=3, fontsize=9)
ax1.set_ylim(0, 42)
ax1.set_ylabel("Real TPOT selection regret (%)")
ax1.set_title("B. Preregistered decision outcomes")
ax1.legend(frameon=False, fontsize=8)
ax1.grid(axis="y", alpha=0.25)
fig.suptitle(
"SCHEMATIC / preregistered layout — A1 values are not yet measured",
fontsize=11,
)
fig.tight_layout()
fig.savefig(OUT, dpi=180, bbox_inches="tight")
print(OUT)
if __name__ == "__main__":
main()