feat: named live books; start selected_2026_09 (26 strategies)

A live book is a cohort of strategies, each with its own account, started
on one date with one capital and a flat fee per order (trader.LIVE_BOOKS).
The original book keeps its state in data/; a named book in
data/books/<book>/. The monitor runs every book; auto/status/log/compare/
replay take --book. A fresh account opens on the book's first session.

selected_2026_09: US $10,000 and $1 per order from 2026-09-25, CN ¥50,000
and ¥5 per order from 2026-09-28 (the first CN session after the choice).
Strategies beat their benchmark in the Apr-Sep 2026 point-in-time replay
and passed a 10-year PIT backtest (US Sharpe >= 0.6, MaxDD > -50%; CN
Sharpe >= 0.2, CAGR > 0), no daily variants, at most two frequencies per
factor signal, plus the three 2026-09 research strategies.

bridge.py live --book and bridge.py books feed a book selector on the
live page (/api/strategies/live?book=, /api/strategies/live/books).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
2026-09-25 20:46:09 +08:00
parent 905ca4fe05
commit 5dbabc3e08
8 changed files with 309 additions and 47 deletions

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@@ -36,6 +36,7 @@ uv run python trader.py status --market us --strategy recovery_mom_top10 # Por
uv run python trader.py simulate --market us --strategy recovery_mom_top10 --start 2026-01-01 --end 2026-04-01 # Historical replay
uv run python trader.py log --market us --strategy sim_recovery_mom_top10 --start 2026-03-01 # View daily log
uv run python trader.py simulate --integer-shares --fixed-fee 2.0 ... # Integer shares mode
uv run python trader.py compare --market us --book selected_2026_09 # A named live book
# Precompute the strategy page's backtests (writes data/precomputed/)
uv run python precompute_backtest.py
@@ -72,6 +73,8 @@ uv run python -m unittest discover tests
**Daily trader** (`trader.py`): Live/forward-testing system with persistent portfolio state in `data/trader_{market}_{strategy}.json`. The `auto` subcommand runs both signal generation and execution in a single invocation — designed for cron. The `simulate` subcommand replays a date range day-by-day with realistic portfolio tracking (fractional shares, cash, commissions). Orders: whole A-share lots are allocated nearest-lot within cash (`_allocate_lots`); a held name is resized only when ≥ `RESIZE_BAND` (10%) off target. Available strategies: `recovery_mom_top10`, `recovery_mom_top20`, `momentum`, `momentum_quality`, `dual_momentum`, `inverse_vol`, `trend_following`, `buy_and_hold`, 32 factor-combo strategies (`fc_{signal}_{freq}` — see `strategies/factor_combo.py`), and the robust-momentum bar strategies `overnight_recovery_top10`, `lowrisk_momentum_top15`, `lowbeta_sharpe_mom_top20`.
**Live books** (`trader.LIVE_BOOKS`): a book is a cohort of strategies, each with its own account, started on one date with one capital and a flat fee per order. The original book (every live strategy, `MONITOR_CAPITAL`, `MARKET_FEES`) keeps state in `data/trader_*.json`; a named book keeps it in `data/books/<book>/`. The monitor runs every book; `auto`/`status`/`log`/`compare`/`replay` and `bridge.py live` take `--book`, and `bridge.py books` lists them for the UI's book selector. `selected_2026_09` (26 strategies, US $10,000 / CN ¥50,000, $1 / ¥5 per order) starts on 2026-09-25 (US) and 2026-09-28 (CN).
**Strategy protocol** (`strategies/base.py`): All strategies inherit from `Strategy` ABC and implement `generate_signals(data) → DataFrame` where the returned DataFrame contains portfolio weights (rows = dates, columns = assets, values sum to ~1.0 per row). Each strategy is responsible for applying its own 1-day lag via `.shift(1)` to avoid lookahead bias — the backtest engine does not shift. A `BarStrategy` declares `fields` (close/open/high/low/volume) and receives `{field: DataFrame}`; live it uses completed bars only (row d from bars through d-1, traded at the close of d), while close-price strategies read the session's open as their latest price.
**Strategies**: