_submit printed "HTTP 403" and moved on, and buy/sell then marked the
session done, so one rejected MOC/MOO order was never retried. It now
raises unless Alpaca returns an order id with an accepted status; a 422
duplicate client_order_id counts only when the existing order matches the
payload and is live. The session is marked bought/sold only after every
order is accepted, and the daemon retries the rest on its next tick.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
- orb_stocks_in_play: 5-min bounds -70%/yr (conservative) vs +71%/yr
(optimistic); the optimistic bound breaks even at 3.6 bp slippage a side.
- overnight_only: the momentum sleeve's names earn their return overnight
(Sharpe 1.57) and nothing intraday; held close->open only, net Sharpe
1.29-1.42 at 1 bp a side, below the 1.5 gate.
- overnight_paper.py + systemd unit: MOC buy / MOO sell of the top 10 on the
Alpaca paper account from 2026-10-12, with a fills-vs-prints report.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
