Guard factor regressions against unidentified models
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@@ -461,6 +461,35 @@ class RegressionTests(unittest.TestCase):
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self.assertEqual(result["end_date"], "2025-02-21")
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self.assertEqual(result["n_obs"], 296)
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def test_run_factor_regression_rejects_underdetermined_designs(self):
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dates = pd.date_range("2024-01-01", periods=3, freq="B")
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factors = pd.DataFrame(
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{
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"MKT_RF": [0.01, -0.02, 0.015],
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"SMB": [0.005, 0.004, -0.001],
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},
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index=dates,
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)
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strategy = pd.Series([0.012, -0.018, 0.019], index=dates)
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with self.assertRaisesRegex(ValueError, "Insufficient observations"):
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run_factor_regression(strategy, factors, factor_cols=["MKT_RF", "SMB"])
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def test_run_factor_regression_rejects_rank_deficient_designs(self):
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dates = pd.date_range("2024-01-01", periods=6, freq="B")
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market = np.array([0.01, -0.02, 0.015, 0.005, -0.01, 0.02])
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factors = pd.DataFrame(
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{
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"MKT_RF": market,
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"SMB": market * 2.0,
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},
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index=dates,
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)
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strategy = pd.Series(0.0005 + 1.0 * factors["MKT_RF"] + 0.5 * factors["SMB"], index=dates)
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with self.assertRaisesRegex(ValueError, "rank-deficient"):
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run_factor_regression(strategy, factors, factor_cols=["MKT_RF", "SMB"])
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def test_prepare_factor_models_uses_proxy_family_without_external_us_factors(self):
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dates = pd.date_range("2024-01-01", periods=5, freq="B")
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extension = pd.DataFrame(
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