Initial commit: quant backtesting framework with daily trading simulator

Backtesting engine supporting 11 strategies across US (S&P 500) and CN (CSI 300)
markets with open-to-close execution, proportional + fixed per-trade fees.

Daily trader (trader.py) with auto/morning/evening/simulate/status commands
and cron-friendly `auto` mode for unattended daily runs on a server.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
2026-04-05 00:41:19 +08:00
commit 42218741d4
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import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from strategies.base import Strategy
class MomentumQualityStrategy(Strategy):
"""
Momentum + quality factor strategy using price-derived signals only.
Quality proxy (from price data):
- Return consistency: fraction of positive monthly returns over past year
(stocks that grind up steadily are higher "quality" than volatile jumpers)
- Low max drawdown: smaller peak-to-trough drop = more stable
Combined with momentum, this favors stocks with strong AND stable uptrends,
filtering out lottery-ticket stocks that spike then crash.
"""
def __init__(self, momentum_period: int = 252, skip: int = 21,
quality_window: int = 252, top_n: int = 20):
self.momentum_period = momentum_period
self.skip = skip
self.quality_window = quality_window
self.top_n = top_n
def generate_signals(self, data: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
# --- Momentum factor ---
momentum = data.shift(self.skip).pct_change(self.momentum_period - self.skip)
# --- Quality factor 1: return consistency ---
# Rolling 21-day (monthly) returns, then count fraction positive over past year
monthly_ret = data.pct_change(21)
consistency = monthly_ret.rolling(self.quality_window).apply(
lambda x: (x > 0).sum() / len(x), raw=True
)
# --- Quality factor 2: inverse max drawdown ---
# Smaller drawdown = higher quality
def rolling_max_dd(prices: pd.DataFrame, window: int) -> pd.DataFrame:
rolling_max = prices.rolling(window).max()
drawdown = prices / rolling_max - 1
# Rolling worst drawdown (most negative)
worst_dd = drawdown.rolling(window).min()
# Invert: less negative = better, so negate
return -worst_dd # higher = smaller drawdown = better
inv_dd = rolling_max_dd(data, self.quality_window)
# --- Cross-sectional ranking ---
mom_rank = momentum.rank(axis=1, pct=True, na_option="bottom")
con_rank = consistency.rank(axis=1, pct=True, na_option="bottom")
dd_rank = inv_dd.rank(axis=1, pct=True, na_option="bottom")
# Composite: momentum 50%, consistency 25%, drawdown 25%
scores = 0.50 * mom_rank + 0.25 * con_rank + 0.25 * dd_rank
# --- Select top_n ---
n_valid = scores.notna().sum(axis=1)
enough = n_valid >= self.top_n
score_rank = scores.rank(axis=1, ascending=False, na_option="bottom")
top_mask = (score_rank <= self.top_n) & enough.values.reshape(-1, 1)
raw = top_mask.astype(float)
row_sums = raw.sum(axis=1).replace(0, np.nan)
signals = raw.div(row_sums, axis=0).fillna(0.0)
warmup = max(self.momentum_period, self.quality_window) + 21
signals.iloc[:warmup] = 0.0
return signals.shift(1).fillna(0.0)