Initial commit: quant backtesting framework with daily trading simulator

Backtesting engine supporting 11 strategies across US (S&P 500) and CN (CSI 300)
markets with open-to-close execution, proportional + fixed per-trade fees.

Daily trader (trader.py) with auto/morning/evening/simulate/status commands
and cron-friendly `auto` mode for unattended daily runs on a server.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
2026-04-05 00:41:19 +08:00
commit 42218741d4
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import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from strategies.base import Strategy
class MultiFactorStrategy(Strategy):
"""
Multi-factor strategy combining momentum and value signals with a market-timing filter.
Factors:
- Momentum: past return from (momentum_period + skip) to skip days ago (avoids short-term reversal)
- Value: rolling min / current price (inverted price-to-low ratio — cheaper = higher score)
- Market timing: only invest when SPY is above its long-term moving average
Signal generation is fully vectorized — no Python loops over time.
"""
def __init__(
self,
tickers,
benchmark: str = "SPY",
window: int = 200,
momentum_period: int = 230,
momentum_skip: int = 20,
value_period: int = 250,
top_n: int = 5,
):
self.tickers = list(tickers)
self.benchmark = benchmark
self.window = window
self.momentum_period = momentum_period
self.momentum_skip = momentum_skip
self.value_period = value_period
self.top_n = top_n
def generate_signals(self, data: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
stock = data[self.tickers]
# --- Market timing filter ---
spy_ma = data[self.benchmark].rolling(self.window).mean()
market_up = (data[self.benchmark] > spy_ma).values # shape (T,)
# --- Momentum factor ---
# Return from T-(momentum_period+skip) to T-skip, avoiding the last month
momentum = stock.shift(self.momentum_skip).pct_change(self.momentum_period)
# --- Value factor ---
# min_price_over_period / current_price (higher = more "undervalued" vs recent range)
value = stock.rolling(self.value_period).min() / stock
# --- Cross-sectional ranking (each row ranked across assets) ---
mom_rank = momentum.rank(axis=1, pct=True, na_option="bottom")
val_rank = value.rank(axis=1, pct=True, na_option="bottom")
scores = mom_rank + val_rank # combined score, higher = better
# --- Select top_n assets per row ---
# Only allocate rows that have enough valid scores
n_valid = scores.notna().sum(axis=1)
enough_data = n_valid >= self.top_n
score_rank = scores.rank(axis=1, ascending=False, na_option="bottom")
top_mask = (score_rank <= self.top_n) & enough_data.values.reshape(-1, 1)
# Equal-weight allocation among selected assets
raw = top_mask.astype(float)
row_sums = raw.sum(axis=1).replace(0, np.nan)
signals = raw.div(row_sums, axis=0).fillna(0.0)
# --- Apply market timing: zero out when SPY is below its MA ---
signals[~market_up] = 0.0
# --- Zero out warm-up period ---
warmup = max(self.window, self.momentum_period + self.momentum_skip, self.value_period)
signals.iloc[:warmup] = 0.0
# Shift by 1: signal computed at close of day t trades at open of day t+1
return signals.shift(1).fillna(0.0)