Initial commit: quant backtesting framework with daily trading simulator

Backtesting engine supporting 11 strategies across US (S&P 500) and CN (CSI 300)
markets with open-to-close execution, proportional + fixed per-trade fees.

Daily trader (trader.py) with auto/morning/evening/simulate/status commands
and cron-friendly `auto` mode for unattended daily runs on a server.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
2026-04-05 00:41:19 +08:00
commit 42218741d4
23 changed files with 3136 additions and 0 deletions

View File

@@ -0,0 +1,66 @@
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
from strategies.base import Strategy
class RecoveryMomentumStrategy(Strategy):
"""
Recovery + momentum composite factor strategy.
Combines the two strongest predictive factors (by IC analysis):
1. Recovery: price relative to 63-day low (how far stock has bounced
from its recent trough). Higher = stronger recovery trajectory.
2. Long-term momentum: 12-1 month return. Avoids most recent month
to sidestep short-term reversal noise.
Rank-combines both factors (50/50), selects top_n, equal-weights.
Rebalances monthly to control turnover.
The recovery factor captures stocks in strong V-shaped rebounds —
a pattern that tends to persist. Combined with momentum, it filters
for stocks with both long-term strength AND recent acceleration.
"""
def __init__(self, recovery_window: int = 63, mom_lookback: int = 252,
mom_skip: int = 21, rebal_freq: int = 21, top_n: int = 10):
self.recovery_window = recovery_window
self.mom_lookback = mom_lookback
self.mom_skip = mom_skip
self.rebal_freq = rebal_freq
self.top_n = top_n
def generate_signals(self, data: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
# Factor 1: Recovery — price / rolling min
recovery = data / data.rolling(self.recovery_window).min() - 1
# Factor 2: 12-1 month momentum
momentum = data.shift(self.mom_skip).pct_change(self.mom_lookback - self.mom_skip)
# Cross-sectional percentile ranks
rec_rank = recovery.rank(axis=1, pct=True, na_option="bottom")
mom_rank = momentum.rank(axis=1, pct=True, na_option="bottom")
# Composite score (50/50)
composite = 0.5 * rec_rank + 0.5 * mom_rank
# Select top_n
rank = composite.rank(axis=1, ascending=False, na_option="bottom")
n_valid = composite.notna().sum(axis=1)
enough = n_valid >= self.top_n
top_mask = (rank <= self.top_n) & enough.values.reshape(-1, 1)
raw = top_mask.astype(float)
row_sums = raw.sum(axis=1).replace(0, np.nan)
signals = raw.div(row_sums, axis=0).fillna(0.0)
# Monthly rebalance: keep only rebal-day signals, forward-fill
warmup = max(self.mom_lookback, self.recovery_window)
rebal_mask = pd.Series(False, index=data.index)
rebal_indices = list(range(warmup, len(data), self.rebal_freq))
rebal_mask.iloc[rebal_indices] = True
signals[~rebal_mask] = np.nan
signals = signals.ffill().fillna(0.0)
signals.iloc[:warmup] = 0.0
return signals.shift(1).fillna(0.0)