import numpy as np import pandas as pd from strategies.base import Strategy class MomentumStrategy(Strategy): """ Classic cross-sectional momentum strategy (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993). Ranks assets by their past (lookback - skip) day return, skipping the most recent `skip` days to avoid short-term mean reversion. Allocates equally among the top_n winners each period. Default parameters approximate the 12-1 month academic factor. """ def __init__(self, lookback: int = 252, skip: int = 21, top_n: int = 5): self.lookback = lookback # ~12 months self.skip = skip # ~1 month — skip to avoid reversal self.top_n = top_n def generate_signals(self, data: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: # Momentum: return from T-(lookback) to T-skip momentum = data.shift(self.skip).pct_change(self.lookback - self.skip) n_valid = momentum.notna().sum(axis=1) enough_data = n_valid >= self.top_n score_rank = momentum.rank(axis=1, ascending=False, na_option="bottom") top_mask = (score_rank <= self.top_n) & enough_data.values.reshape(-1, 1) raw = top_mask.astype(float) row_sums = raw.sum(axis=1).replace(0, np.nan) signals = raw.div(row_sums, axis=0).fillna(0.0) signals.iloc[:self.lookback] = 0.0 return signals.shift(1).fillna(0.0)