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cd82b8c2a2 PD-sep matrix results: C2/C3/C4 figures + empirical mechanism refined
Captures 5 runs from the experiment matrix (combined-ca x3 seeds,
pdsep-4p4d seed1, pdsep-6p2d seed1) on traces/w600_r0.0015_st30.jsonl
with cuda graphs enabled. The headline:

  combined-ca:  TTFT p50 0.91s   success 99.5%
  pdsep-4p4d:   TTFT p50 62.8s   success 52%   (69x worse, half dropped)
  pdsep-6p2d:   TTFT p50 51.1s   success 68%   (56x worse, third dropped)

C2 (fig_c2): headline bars per config with error bars.
C3 (fig_c3): per-instance KV utilization time-series. Both PD-sep
  splits hit the memory wall, but the side differs by P:D ratio --
  4P+4D pins the P-side, 6P+2D pins both sides (D-side back-pressures
  P-side).
C4 (fig_c4): TTFT stacked breakdown. 99% of PD-sep TTFT is P-side
  prefill compute; D-side wait + first token is <=1.2s. The bottleneck
  is P-side prefill queueing, not D-side decode wait as the original
  analytical model assumed.

system_analysis.md gains a Layer 5b that reconciles the analytical
KV-wall model (which considered D-side only) with the empirical
finding that the wall hits whichever side has fewer GPUs, and
co-saturates both at extreme splits via D-side back-pressure.

plot_pd_matrix.py ingests outputs/pd_matrix/* into all four figures.
bench.sh gained AGENTIC_STEP_LOG_DIR hooks for future runs (set during
this work but not used by the current matrix's data).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-25 16:23:52 +08:00
21ffb3d4f7 PD-sep matrix infrastructure: bench.sh pdsep mode + matrix driver
Adds the experiment harness that gates the empirical claims (C2/C3/C4/C5)
in the PD-sep paper section. Three pieces:

  1. scripts/bench.sh: new --mode pdsep with --pd-ratio P:D, and an
     --eager flag to re-enable --enforce-eager for the cuda-graph
     ablation. pdsep reuses the elastic-mode Mooncake kv_both launch and
     swaps the proxy command from --combined to --prefill/--decode.
     baseline and elastic flows are unchanged.

  2. analysis/pd_sep_paper_section/scripts/bench_pd_matrix.sh: matrix
     driver that runs {combined-ca, pdsep-4p4d, pdsep-6p2d} x cudagraph
     x 3 seeds by default (~2 h on dash0). --with-rr adds combined-rr;
     --with-eager doubles to ~5 h with the cuda-graph ablation. Skips
     completed runs, captures per-instance vLLM logs (needed for C3
     step-level KV-utilization mining).

  3. fig_kv_memory_wall.pdf: empirical anchor (star) at REPORT.md §3.3's
     observed 6P+2D 97% KV utilization. The marker lands on the model's
     predicted curve at p90 input, confirming the steady-state analysis.

README updated with the run command, output layout, and the followup
plotters that consume outputs/pd_matrix/.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-25 11:47:33 +08:00