Gahow Wang 020a5c79a7 §3.3 reframe: hot pin failure is uniformly-slow workers, not max/median ratio
User pointed out the apparent paradox: in fig_b3_per_worker_ttft_p90, unified
has hotspot index 3.67 while sticky has 2.73, yet unified e2e p90 is roughly
half of sticky's. Resolution: hotspot index (max/median) is a *ratio* and
misleading on its own. Per-worker absolute TTFT p90:

  sticky : median 20.3s, max 55.4s -> system e2e p90 34.6s
  unified: median 10.3s, max 37.7s -> system e2e p90 18.0s

Mechanism: top 1% sessions own 46.5% input mass and there are more hot
sessions than instances (8), so sticky's hash binding gives *every* worker
its own hot session and the median worker is also slow. Unified's LMetric
fallback re-routes cold/new sessions away from hot affinity instances,
preserving 7/8 worker speed. System p90 is dominated by the majority of
requests landing on fast workers, hence the 2x e2e gap.

Changes:
- Replace §3.3 figure with figs/f4c_per_worker_ttft.png (per-worker bars)
  instead of figs/f4c_apc_vs_hotspot_tradeoff.png (the ratio scatter)
- §3.3 narrative in PAPER_OUTLINE.md and MEETING.md rewritten around
  absolute median + max + system e2e p90 instead of hotspot ratio
- Add a §3.3 sub-finding: "hot pin failure must be measured with
  per-worker absolute latency, not normalized ratio"
- Keep the scatter as supplementary for §5 multi-policy summary

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-05-27 10:10:23 +08:00
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