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aituner/runs/frontier-split-rootcause-v0/frozen-inputs/q30-admission-diag/result.md
2026-07-20 12:05:20 +08:00

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Qwen30 Fixed-PD TTFT admission diagnosis

Verdict: Frontier overpredicts decode service time, so TP4's higher global arrival rate crosses the MNS admission cap only in simulation. The resulting first-scheduling queue reverses the TP topology ranking; without that queue Frontier itself predicts TP4 faster than TP2, matching real hardware.

Config Sim TPOT / real Sim required slots / MNS Real slots upper bound / MNS Sim first-schedule wait Real waiting max
tp2_mns64 8.09x 58.0/64 7.5/64 38.2 ms 0
tp4_mns16 3.83x 54.5/16 14.6/16 64906.3 ms 0
tp4_mns32 4.67x 65.9/32 14.5/32 27180.7 ms 0
tp4_mns64 5.61x 79.8/64 14.7/64 6367.3 ms 0

TP4/MNS32 minus TP2/MNS64 TTFT

  • Observed Frontier: +27087.0 ms.
  • Frontier without first-scheduling queue: -55.4 ms.
  • Real hardware: -71.4 ms.

Boundary: This identifies where the selection error is created, but the frozen real logs do not attribute service-time overprediction to one operator.